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Choke 02 · Sector VI

The HBM Stacking Robots — TC Bonders & Hybrid Bonders

Thermo-Compression Bonders · Hybrid Bonders · Sub-Micron Alignment

Every HBM stack on Earth is built by a single Korean company's bonding machines. The successor technology is owned by a single Dutch company.

An HBM stack is built one DRAM die at a time. The dies must be aligned to each other within fractions of a micron — about 1/200th the width of a human hair — then pressed together under heat to fuse the copper connections. The machine that does this is called a thermo-compression (TC) bonder , and one Korean company, Hanmi Semiconductor , makes 71% of them globally. Each TC bonder costs $3-6M. The next-generation process, used starting in HBM4E and HBM5, is called hybrid bonding — where copper pads are joined directly to copper pads without solder, requiring sub-10-nanometer precision. Two companies in the world make hybrid bonders at scale: BE Semiconductor (Netherlands) and Applied Materials (which has a partnership with BESI). This is the cleanest equipment monopoly in the entire semiconductor industry.

Why this is a chokepoint

You cannot make HBM without TC bonders. You cannot make HBM4E or beyond without hybrid bonders. There is no third option, and the lead-time to deliver these machines is 12-18 months. Every HBM ramp announcement at SK Hynix, Samsung, and Micron is fundamentally an order announcement for these two equipment names.

2 names on the watchlist

71% global share of TC bonders — the machine that physically stacks every HBM die on Earth.

Korean equipment maker that builds the thermo-compression (TC) bonders that stack HBM DRAM dies layer-by-layer with sub-micron alignment . Per TechInsights' 2025 TC Bonder Market Report, Hanmi holds 71.2% global share (cumulative $247.7M). Over 90% share specifically in HBM3E 12-layer TC bonders. Closest competitors: SEMES (Samsung's in-house, 13.1%), ASMPT (5.6%), Yamaha Robotics (5.6%). They are now expanding into hybrid bonding too.

Co-leader in hybrid bonders. The HBM4E / HBM5 generation runs on BESI's machines.

Dutch maker of hybrid bonders that join copper-to-copper at less than 10 nanometers of precision , required for HBM4E 16-high stacks and beyond. Applied Materials bought a 9% stake in April 2025, creating an effective "AMAT CMP + BESI bonder" alliance. Bernstein expects all three HBM makers (SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron) to adopt BESI for HBM4E/HBM5 from 2027 onward. The FT reports hybrid bonding revenue went from €36M (2023) to €476M projected (2026).

Sector sources