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Choke 03 · Sector V

The Wings — Satellite Structures, Solar & Deployables

ROSA Solar Arrays · Booms · Reaction Wheels · Star Trackers · Lunar Power

Every satellite needs a body, wings, and the moving parts to point itself. One US company owns the dominant flexible solar array.

Beyond launch and brains, you need the body: structure (the satellite bus), power (solar arrays), pointing (reaction wheels, star trackers), and deployables (booms and antennas that fold for launch and unfurl in orbit). Redwire owns roll-out solar arrays (ROSA) — flexible blankets that unfurl in space, which power the ISS's recent upgrade and which NASA selected as the baseline power source for the Lunar Gateway. Lockheed closed its Terran Orbital acquisition late 2024 , taking the leading public smallsat-bus integrator off the board. Maxar was taken private. Public pure-plays shrink every year — Redwire is increasingly the only one standing.

Why this is a chokepoint

Contested chokepoint with a thinner moat than rad-hard — but Redwire's ROSA franchise plus the Andromeda IDIQ position it for the next decade of GEO and lunar power systems. Scarcity value compounds as public peers get acquired.

1 name on the watchlist

US prime for roll-out solar arrays, VLEO platforms, lunar power infrastructure — plus a tactical-drone arm

Q1 2026 revenue $96.97M (+57.9% YoY); record backlog $498.1M (+71% YoY) ; book-to-bill 1.92. Selected as one of 14 vendors on the US Space Systems Command Andromeda IDIQ — originally $1.8B over 10 years for geosynchronous space-domain-awareness spacecraft, with target shared ceiling raised to more than $6 billion . Gross margin jumped to 26.6% from 14.7%. FY26 revenue guidance $450–500M (~42% growth midpoint). Other lines: SabreSat VLEO platform ($44M DARPA Otter Phase 2), Eclipse Prime lunar surface infrastructure, IBDM on The Exploration Company's Nyx, 11 active payload facilities on the ISS . Edge Autonomy delivered 100+ Stalker/Penguin drones across seven countries since June 2025, including US Army LRR. Truist initiated with a Buy in May 2026.