Midnight MarketsV1.0
⚠ Not financial adviceNot financial advice. Independent research, not investment recommendations. The author and website make no representation as to accuracy or completeness. Do your own due diligence before acting on anything you read here. Read the full disclaimer →
Choke 01 · Sector IX

The CDUs & Cold Plates — Liquid Cooling at Rack Scale

Coolant Distribution Units · Cold Plates · NVIDIA Reference Designs

Every Blackwell and Rubin rack needs a CDU. Vertiv is the de facto leader with a $15B backlog — roughly 12–18 months of forward revenue locked in.

A coolant distribution unit (CDU) is a refrigerator-sized box that sits next to a server rack. It pumps cold liquid (water-glycol or a dielectric fluid) through manifolds, into cold plates that sit on top of every GPU, then back to the CDU where the heat is exchanged with a building-level chilled-water loop. The CDU is the unit-of-work for AI cooling — and it is still in short supply. Per GMInsights, Vertiv held 11.3% data center liquid cooling share in 2025 ; Dell'Oro calls Vertiv and Schneider "virtually tied" as leaders. Vertiv's CoolChip CDUs are the de facto standard for high-density AI deployments. Eaton acquired Boyd Thermal (cold plates) in March 2026 to become immediately competitive.

Why this is a chokepoint

You cannot ship a Blackwell or Rubin rack without a CDU and cold plates. Vertiv's Q4 2025 book-to-bill was 2.9x and the backlog grew 109% YoY to $15B. Backlogs that big translate into 12–18 months of forward revenue without a single new order.

4 names on the watchlist

Pure-play AI datacenter physical infrastructure. ~75% of revenue from datacenters. $15B+ backlog.

The "Cisco" of physical AI infrastructure. Sells UPS systems, switchgear, racks, CDUs, immersion cooling, and chillers to hyperscalers and colos. ~75% of revenue from datacenters. Q1 2026 revenue $2.65B (+30% YoY); adjusted operating margin 20.8%; Q4 orders +252% YoY; backlog over $15B; FY26 EPS guide $5.97–6.07. Acquired ThermoKey (Mar 2026), Strategic Thermal Labs (Apr 2026), and BMarko Structures (Apr 2026). Investment-grade ratings Feb 2026.

European Vertiv equivalent. UPS, racks, EcoStruxure software. Acquired Motivair (Oct 2024, $850M) for liquid cooling.

European leader in datacenter physical infrastructure. Acquired Motivair Oct 2024 ($850M) for liquid cooling. NVIDIA GB200 reference-design partnership. EcoStruxure software adds a recurring-revenue layer Vertiv doesn't have. Less concentrated than Vertiv but slower-growth. Lower-beta way to play the same secular trend.

Power distribution + cooling. Acquired Boyd Thermal (cold plates) March 2026 — immediately competitive with Vertiv.

Diversified power-management leader. Acquired Boyd Thermal in March 2026 — immediately competitive with Vertiv on cold plates and CDUs. Also a major Sector III (Non-AI Energy) name on the power-distribution side. The most diversified way to play both cooling and grid simultaneously — lower beta, less pure-play.

Schroff (racks) + Erico (electrical) + NVIDIA partnership for rack-scale solutions. Cold plates via CoolIT/Trachte.

Rack-level cooling and electrical-connection specialist. NVIDIA partnership for rack-scale solutions . Cold plates via the CoolIT and Trachte product lines. Smaller, more pure-play than Vertiv on the rack-level cooling segment; less exposure to the big CDU contracts.

Sector sources